Renaissance predictor

Inputs the model uses

Switch inputs on or off, then test how accurate the model is with those settings. Nothing changes for predictions until you publish a test.

Never used:

Training data

Bracket targets

The share of games in each bracket that must turn out to be hits. Higher targets mean fewer false positives and rarer brackets.

Test accuracy Reset to live settings

Accuracy tests

Each test trains a model with the chosen settings and checks it on the newest quarter of games, which it never saw. A test takes about 5 to 10 minutes.